Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 17:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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34
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète23 avr. 24, 17:56 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US government introduce any domestic restrictions on open-weight LLMs by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWeights in largest open-weight AI model before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAn open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26
Manifold MarketsWhen will Reflection AI release its first open-weight model?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Will Zuck and LeCun release all model variants of Llama 4? Or will they at least hide the most powerful ones?
- Update 2026-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is waiting an additional year before resolving to ensure the Llama 4 Behemoth model variant is not released before resolving.