KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Dec 31, 2026 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Dec 31, 2026 98.5%En tête parmi 9 options
Before Dec 31, 2026 98.5%Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
26,8 k €
Intérêt ouvert
166 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Before Dec 31, 2026Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
20 oct. 26, 03:30 UTC31 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Sep 25, 2026Perdu
Before Oct 2, 2026Perdu
Before Oct 9, 2026Perdu
Before Oct 16, 2026Perdu
Before Oct 23, 2026Perdu
Before Oct 30, 2026Perdu
Before Nov 6, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Dec 31, 2026
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
Manifold MarketsOn what date will OpenAI release GPT-6.2 Astra?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a frontier model with a 5:1 or better abstention to hallucination ratio on SimpleQA?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a Frontier Model trained according to their "Why LLMs hallucinate" paper?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:OpenAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Dec 31, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 25, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 2, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 9, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 16, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 23, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 6, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
