KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Nov 1, 2026 80%+30.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Before Nov 1, 2026 80%+30.0ptQualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
11,5 k €
Liquidité
14,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
10.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
24 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Anthropic release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
KalshiWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
PolymarketGPT 6.1+ (OpenAI) release date
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a competitor to GitHub in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a model called GPT-5o in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If an OpenAI product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:OpenAITechCrunchThe VergeArs TechnicaWiredReutersBloomberg TechnologyThe InformationThe Wall Street Journal Technology sectionVentureBeatEngadgetThe New York Times Technology sectionAssociated Press Technology coverageAxios Technology newsletterPolitico Technology coverage
- The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explicitly labeled as "beta," "test," "experimental," "preview," or "early access" or similar, and officially acknowledged by the company through announcements, documentation, or help pages.
- Implementation includes direct integration into the product's interface, automatic application to user accounts, user-initiated activation through official controls, API implementation, or policy changes that operationally enforce the function.
- Announcements without deployment, employee-only testing, technical documentation without implementation, and third-party additions without authorization do not qualify.
- The implementation must occur in the United States unless otherwise specified.
- If it meets these conditions, it counts from the first date it is live for users outside the company, including in a gradual rollout or a waitlist, invitation-only, or paid-tier release.