KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 63%En tête parmi 4 options
Before Jan 1, 2027 63%Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
232,7 €
Liquidité
647,4 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
24 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC1 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic release Mythos?
KalshiClaude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release Opus 6?
KalshiWill Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If an Anthropic product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:AnthropicTechCrunchThe VergeArs TechnicaWiredReutersBloomberg TechnologyThe InformationThe Wall Street Journal Technology sectionVentureBeatEngadgetThe New York Times Technology sectionAssociated Press Technology coverageAxios Technology newsletterPolitico Technology coverage
- The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explicitly labeled as "beta," "test," "experimental," "preview," or "early access" or similar, and officially acknowledged by the company through announcements, documentation, or help pages.
- Implementation includes direct integration into the product's interface, automatic application to user accounts, user-initiated activation through official controls, API implementation, or policy changes that operationally enforce the function.
- Announcements without deployment, employee-only testing, technical documentation without implementation, and third-party additions without authorization do not qualify.
- The implementation must occur in the United States unless otherwise specified.
- If it meets these conditions, it counts from the first date it is live for users outside the company, including in a gradual rollout or a waitlist, invitation-only, or paid-tier release.
