Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.8%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
5 août 26, 23:16 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic release a new line of models by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a new line of models by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release Mythos?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic release Claude 6?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic release Opus 6?
KalshiWhich months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves to YES if, between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, Anthropic officially releases a new, distinct model line that does not belong to any of the following four existing categories:
- Claude Haiku
- Claude Sonnet
- Claude Fable
- An "officially released model line" is defined as a model announced via Anthropic's official communication channels (such as the Anthropic News Page or official developer documentation) featuring entirely new branding or tier classifications distinct from the four categories listed above.
- Clarifications and Edge Cases:
