Probabilité implicite actuelle
November 30 89%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,2 k €
Liquidité
39,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
17
Variation 7j
-22.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
12 déc. 25, 21:47 UTC1 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Gemini 4 released in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
- Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?
- Tariff99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
- Fake News99%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 94,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 94,2 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.2pt67.7%
- ChatGPT-4.8pt15.7%
- Gemini-0.4pt6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+8.0pt89.4%
- Muse+1.0pt2.9%
- ChatGPT-8.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 416,3 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-64.6pt3%
- 1490+-39.9pt1%
- 1500+-25.4pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-3.0pt85%
- 2026+1.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026-4.5pt39%
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- DeepSeek market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Gemini 4.0 released by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote November 30 à 89% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Gemini 4.0 released by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date? doit être résolu le 1 décembre 2026.
- Comment Gemini 4.0 released by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date.