Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.7%
Non 97.7%Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète10 nov. 22, 04:26 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many successful SpaceX launches in October 2026 UTC
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES upon any successful launch into a suborbital trajectory, conditional on it being capable to boost to orbit (regardless of if that succeeds).
- Resolves NO on close
