Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 91%
Non 91%Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète10 nov. 22, 04:26 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many successful SpaceX launches in October 2026 UTC
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES upon any successful launch into a suborbital trajectory, conditional on it being capable to boost to orbit (regardless of if that succeeds).
- Resolves NO on close