Prévision communautaire actuelle
10 30.5%+2.9ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+7.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
22 sept. 26, 10:40 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
PolymarketTotal space launches in October
KalshiHow many SpaceX launches in 2026?
PolymarketWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill this question get 111 traders in 555 days? (October 23, 2026) UTC
Manifold MarketsWill SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for October 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.