KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 6%
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
26 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
4.0% / 6.0%
Spread
50.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
20 janv. 26, 1:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes6%
Tendance du volume
$202 juil.22j de données25 juil.
Marchés Associés
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
244,9 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July
17,6 €$1.0T-$1.5T: 60%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETSpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
0 €Below 0.5T: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4,1 k €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETCombined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX
44,4 €Under $3T: 1.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0 €SpaceX: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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If Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX has taken a stake of above 0% in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests.
- This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity.
- Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold.
- Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings.
- Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes.