Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.9%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète20 janv. 26, 09:19 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk buy a major sports team before 2027?
KalshiWill Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon purchase Ryanair?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Whether Elon Musk will acquire Ryanair by 31 December 2027 (23:59 UTC)?
- The outcome resolves to YES if a definitive agreement is publicly announced and legally executed in which Elon Musk (personally or via an entity he controls) acquires a controlling stake (≥50% voting rights) in Ryanair before the resolution date.
- The outcome resolves to NO if no such acquisition occurs by the deadline.
- Rumors, negotiations, minority investments, partnerships, or non-binding offers do not count as a YES.
- Resolution is based on credible public disclosures, regulatory filings, or official statements from the parties involved.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 48,8 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- IPOs before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair by the end of 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair by the end of 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair by the end of 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair by the end of 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Whether Elon Musk will acquire Ryanair by 31 December 2027 (23:59 UTC)?