Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.9%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète20 janv. 26, 09:19 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Whether Elon Musk will acquire Ryanair by 31 December 2027 (23:59 UTC)?
- The outcome resolves to YES if a definitive agreement is publicly announced and legally executed in which Elon Musk (personally or via an entity he controls) acquires a controlling stake (≥50% voting rights) in Ryanair before the resolution date.
- The outcome resolves to NO if no such acquisition occurs by the deadline.
- Rumors, negotiations, minority investments, partnerships, or non-binding offers do not count as a YES.
- Resolution is based on credible public disclosures, regulatory filings, or official statements from the parties involved.