Probabilité implicite actuelle
Google 27.9%-4.5ptEn tête parmi 21 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Google 27.9%-4.5ptQualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,2 k €
Liquidité
7 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
1 oct. 26, 14:01 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Polymarket#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
Polymarket#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
PolymarketWhich company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)
Polymarket#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
PolymarketWill an AI lab consult a theologian for alignment research in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
