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Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?

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Non 81%

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44

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binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

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Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 31 minutes

2 avr. 24, 14:34 UTC1 janv. 33, 04:59 UTC

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Règles

Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpinLaunch

The technology uses a vacuum-sealed centrifuge to spin a rocket and then hurl it to space at up to 4,700 mph (7,500 km/h; 2.1 km/s).
The rocket then ignites its engines at an altitude of roughly 200,000 ft (60 km) to reach orbital speed of 17,150 mph (27,600 km/h; 7.666 km/s) with a payload of up to 200kg.
Peak acceleration would be approximately 10,000 g.
If successful, the acceleration concept is projected to lower the cost of launches and to use much less power, with the price of a single space launch reduced by a factor of 20 to under US$500,000.

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2033.
Comment Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpinLaunch

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