PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 100%+0.3ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
19,3 k €
Liquidité
35,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
26
Variation 7j
+5.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
12 déc. 25, 18:29 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
First foldable iPhone costs more than $2000?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PolymarketWill Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe.
- An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
- A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour December 31 est de 100%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 1 point de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes. Les plateformes ne s'accordent pas sur l'issue en tête.
Référence CoinRithm December 31 100% · 2 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+2.0pt99%
- $71,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $70,500 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 720,1 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+34.0pt86.1%
- 180-199-13.0pt12.9%
- 200-219-3.9pt1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027-2.0pt67%
- Before March 2027+1.0pt20.8%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.6%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+9.0pt95.2%
- 89° to 90°-9.0pt1%
- 87° to 88°-1.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89%
- OpenAI+0.1pt9%
- Google+0.3pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- 84° or above+37.0pt95.2%
- 75° or below-8.0pt1%
- 80° to 81°-9.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 10, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 11, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 11, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 10, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 100% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless, Manifold Markets.