Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 95.1%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète6 août 23, 22:52 UTC31 déc. 30, 16:01 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsBy when will the first non-traditional launch of an orbital payload happen?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRègles
China here meaning either the state or a Chinese company.
- The first stage should have been already used in a previous launch to Earth orbit (or beyond) before.
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 38,7 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- 356,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11 k €
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- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : China here meaning either the state or a Chinese company.