Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2027 14.1%En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète21 mars 24, 04:56 UTC29 mars 43, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the United Kingdom complete their Sutherland spaceport and launch an orbital rocket from it before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich African country will be the first to launch an orbital rocket in the 21st century?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Space Shuttle Failure Rate
- The Space Shuttle program had a failure rate of approximately 1.5%.
- Here's the breakdown:
- * Total Missions: 135
- * Catastrophic Failures: 2 (Challenger and Columbia)
- * Failure Rate: ~1.5%