Will there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
One-OffEspace4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 55.7%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 39 minutes
13 févr. 25, 19:22 UTC31 déc. 30, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsIs Eric Berger right about the future of Starship?
Manifold MarketsWill the first rocket launch from the UK's SaxaVord spaceport be successful?
Manifold MarketsWhat company will achieve the first successful air-launch to orbit rocket launch from the UK?
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill there be a successful vote of no confidence in France in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Inspired by this Tweet by Eric Berger that gives 50/50 odds