Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 73.3% au 30 septembre 2026.

Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035?

One-OffScience9a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 73.3%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 heures

Obsolète

11 août 26, 00:45 UTC31 déc. 35, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

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Règles

must be real gold, not the previous 'lead into gold' short he made as a joke (link here)

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 73.3% au 30 septembre 2026.
Quand Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2035.
Comment Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : must be real gold, not the previous 'lead into gold' short he made as a joke (link here)

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Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035?

Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035?

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