Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 93.1%
Non 93.1%Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète11 janv. 24, 13:13 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:16 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Must take radioactively stable lead and transmute to radioactively stable gold.
- Must transform at least 1kg of lead in total
- Conversion efficiency at least 90%