Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027
FedInflationCommoditiesIA9moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleModerately higher inflation (2.1%-3.0%) 45%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète9 févr. 26, 17:31 UTC30 juin 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
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KalshiWill the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?
Manifold MarketsWill US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill credit card rates be capped in 2026?
KalshiRègles
AI investment is currently the primary driver of market dynamics.
- The key tension is that massive capital allocations to AI infrastructure (data centers, chips, energy) could either beinflationary (if capex drives energy/commodity demand up aggressively before productivity gains are realised) or disinflationary (if productivity gains materialize quickly, leading to lower costs and enabling growth without wage pressure).
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves based on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year reading as of June 2027 vs. the Fed target inflation rate of 2% and that AI technology is mentioned explicitly in Fed communication as a driver of the deviation from target.
Marchés ouverts
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 127,6 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate43.7%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.7%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,8 k €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt64.1%
- Fed maintains rate30.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 392,6 k €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- 61,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,8 k €
- Fed Decision in December?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Moderately higher inflation (2.1%-3.0%) à 45% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 doit être résolu le 30 juin 2027.
- Comment Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : AI investment is currently the primary driver of market dynamics.