Will A.I. technology lead to regime change and /or state collapse in a UN member state by 2043?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will A.I. technology lead to regime change and /or state collapse in a UN member state by 2043? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67.5% au 27 octobre 2026.

Quand Will A.I. technology lead to regime change and /or state collapse in a UN member state by 2043? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will A.I. technology lead to regime change and /or state collapse in a UN member state by 2043? doit être résolu le 5 décembre 2043.

Comment Will A.I. technology lead to regime change and /or state collapse in a UN member state by 2043? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will a UN member state undergo state collapse or regime change directly attributable to current or future iterations of AI systems, either of its own "volition" or at the direction of a foreign entity or a section of the state's populace? For reference, see Samuel Hammond's AI and the Leviathan Part II

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+10.0pt94%
• December 15,+10.5pt93%
• November 30,+30.0pt89%

+15 résultats de plus

Volume total

5,2 M €

Volume 24h

312,6 k €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt95.5%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+5.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• America First+58.0pt99.5%
• Working Class / Middle Class+40.0pt99.5%
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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.1pt58.4%
• Gemini+1.5pt30.5%
• ChatGPT-0.5pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.5pt29.8%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt21.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.5pt16.4%

+7 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+9.7pt96%
• ↑$1.75T+3.5pt82%
• ↑$2.0T+8.0pt67%

+11 résultats de plus

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