Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 77%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète22 mars 24, 21:34 UTC1 janv. 34, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027
Manifold MarketsDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsChicken wing · Average US wholesale price in September
KalshiWill the Average US Temperature in September 2026 be greater than 69 degrees Fahrenheit?
ForecastExWill the average US Temperature in 2026 be greater than 56 degrees Fahrenheit?
ForecastExRègles
According to the Federal Reserve of Cleveland the expected 10-year inflation on 12 March 2024 is 2.21% per year.
- The market resolves "yes" if the US Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average (CPIAUCSL) reported by FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) increases more than 2.21% per year between 1 Jan 2024 and 1 Jan 2034, from 300.35 to more than 373.74 points.
Marchés ouverts
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 127,6 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate43.7%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.7%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,8 k €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt64.1%
- Fed maintains rate30.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 392,6 k €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- 61,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,8 k €
- Fed Decision in December?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 77% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2034.
- Comment Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : According to the Federal Reserve of Cleveland the expected 10-year inflation on 12 March 2024 is 2.21% per year.