Will Laura Loomer’s terrorist attack prediction be correct?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffCriminalité et justiceMoyen-OrientSociété et culture2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.5%
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31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard27 mars 26, 13:11 UTC31 déc. 26, 14:09 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Laura Loomer recently claimed that a “massive Islamic terror attack” could take place in the US and suggested it could be “10 times worse than 9/11”
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if a terrorist attack occurs in the United States that results in more than 29,770 deaths (10 times the 9/11 death toll of 2,977 people).
- The market resolves NO if no such attack occurs by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official U.S. government casualty counts from federal agencies (FBI, DHS, or NIST) or major news organizations reporting confirmed death tolls.
- This market will resolve as YES even if Islam is revealed to have not actually been involved, but is blamed.
