Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83.3%
Prévisionnistes
70
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 57 minutes
En retard1 juin 24, 14:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 16:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
Criteria for Resolution:
- Terrorist Operation: There must be an organized terrorist operation explicitly aimed at OpenAI.
- Confirmation of Intent:
- - The intent to target OpenAI must be explicitly stated by the terrorists responsible for the attack.
- - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.
- Nature of the Operation: