KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 60%
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
6,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
10.0% / 60.0%
Écart
50.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
2 sept. 26, 03:00 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?
KalshiWill there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If Apple Inc. has achieved the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of Apple v.
- OpenAI, No. 5:26-cv-07078 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For this market, the case is Apple Inc. v.
- Chang Liu, Tang Yew Tan, OpenAI Foundation f/k/a OpenAI, Inc., OpenAI Group PBC, and io Products, LLC f/k/a io Products, Inc., U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California No. 5:26-cv-07078-EJD.
- Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome through the following exclusive hierarchy:
- Net Monetary Recovery (Highest Priority): Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome if it receives a larger net monetary award than all opposing parties combined (after offsetting any awards against Apple Inc.).
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Apple win its case against OpenAI? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 60% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Apple win its case against OpenAI? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Apple win its case against OpenAI? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Apple win its case against OpenAI? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Apple Inc. has achieved the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of Apple v.