Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 65.4%
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète27 juil. 23, 17:53 UTC1 janv. 00, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer before 2045?
Manifold MarketsReal-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).
Manifold MarketsReal-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).
Manifold MarketsWill humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Uploading: scanning the structure of a brain in sufficient resolution and using it as input to a simulation which results in consciousness similar to the original brain.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/conditional-on-uploading-tech-will)
Marchés ouverts
Science
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- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.
- Comment Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Uploading: scanning the structure of a brain in sufficient resolution and using it as input to a simulation which results in consciousness similar to the original brain.