Ce marché s'est résolu: 1
Résolu: 14 sept. 2026, 10:46
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
1
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
87%
ConsensusAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 14 sept. 2026, 21:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Chronologie des Probabilités
1100%
20%
30%
1Gagné
0Perdu
2Perdu
3Perdu
4Perdu
5Perdu
more than 5Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiMajor volcano eruption in 2026?
KalshiWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
- This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
- If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude.