Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.8%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète29 juil. 26, 19:42 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if at least one commercial non-stop passenger flight departs from an airport in the United Kingdom and successfully lands (wheels down) at an airport in the Syrian Arab Republic before January 1, 2027 (specifically, on or before December 31, 2026, at 23:59 UTC).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Definitions & Rules
- “Non-stop Flight”: The flight must depart from an airport in the UK and land at an airport in Syria with no scheduled or unscheduled intermediate stops.
- “Passenger Flight”: The flight must be a commercial scheduled or charter passenger flight open to the general public or bookable through standard passenger channels.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria