Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 62.5%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète
27 sept. 23, 02:45 UTC2 janv. 40, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Résultat24hProbabilité
Règles
By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak.
This will be achieved by banning transgender content from media and by general control over information and disinformation.
Any officially recognized transgender people will be managed by coerced interventions, either penal or psychiatric, or possibly alternative therapeutic interventions like behavioral therapies, wilderness retreats etc.
Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak ?
Manifold Markets cote No à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak sera-t-il résolu ?
By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2040.
Comment By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak est-il réglé ?
Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak.