Will WW3 start before gta6?
One-OffDivertissementHealth & MedicineRussia / UkraineChinaGéopolitique3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 99.1%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète28 févr. 26, 19:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
will world war 3 start before GTA Vi?
Manifold MarketsWill a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if a third global conflict meeting the definition of World War III begins before Grand Theft Auto VI releases on Thursday, November 19, 2026.
- For resolution purposes, World War III is defined as a hypothetical, catastrophic global conflict involving major powers and widespread military engagement across multiple continents.
- The conflict must be formally declared or widely recognized by international media and governments as constituting a third world war.
- Proxy wars, regional conflicts, cyberattacks, or terrorism alone do not qualify.
- The market resolves NO if November 19, 2026 passes without such a conflict beginning.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will WW3 start before gta6? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will WW3 start before gta6? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will WW3 start before gta6? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will WW3 start before gta6? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria