Will WW3 start before gta6?
One-OffDivertissementSanté et médecineRussie / UkraineChineGéopolitique2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.3%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète28 févr. 26, 19:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
will world war 3 start before GTA Vi?
Manifold MarketsWill a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill post-WWII international orders die before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
Manifold MarketsIf China invades or stops flights to Taiwan, will Manifold predict it? (sharper)
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if a third global conflict meeting the definition of World War III begins before Grand Theft Auto VI releases on Thursday, November 19, 2026.
- For resolution purposes, World War III is defined as a hypothetical, catastrophic global conflict involving major powers and widespread military engagement across multiple continents.
- The conflict must be formally declared or widely recognized by international media and governments as constituting a third world war.
- Proxy wars, regional conflicts, cyberattacks, or terrorism alone do not qualify.
- The market resolves NO if November 19, 2026 passes without such a conflict beginning.
