Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour will world war 3 start before GTA Vi? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 25 octobre 2026.

Quand will world war 3 start before GTA Vi? sera-t-il résolu ?

will world war 3 start before GTA Vi? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.

Comment will world war 3 start before GTA Vi? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria

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will world war 3 start before GTA Vi?

GéopolitiqueOne-OffDivertissement Europe2mois

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 98%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes

1 mars 26, 19:12 UTC31 déc. 26, 22:59 UTC

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Résultat24hProbabilité

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Règles

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if a military conflict meeting the definition of World War 3 begins on or after November 19, 2026, the release date of GTA VI.
Resolution is based on whether major powers (typically defined as permanent UN Security Council members or NATO members) engage in direct military conflict.
The market resolves NO if no such conflict occurs by a specified end date.
Resolution sources may include official government statements, major news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC), UN declarations, or NATO announcements.
GTA VI is scheduled to release on November 19, 2026, after delays that extended the development timeline.

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will world war 3 start before GTA Vi?

will world war 3 start before GTA Vi?

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