Will the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Russie / UkraineOne-OffSanté et médecine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.6%
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14
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
4 oct. 26, 13:24 UTC1 janv. 27, 13:16 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Allegedly, a worker at the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Institute was exposed to plague.
- This resolves YES if a reliable western source claims that at least 100 people were infected as a result of this incident by the end of 2026.
- This resolves YES even if the infection turns out to not actually be plague.