PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31, 6%-0.3ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
30,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeCommentaires
10
Variation 7j
-0.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
5 nov. 25, 18:16 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
PolymarketU.S. nuclear test by which date?
PolymarketWill the US conduct a nuclear test in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an above-ground nuclear test take place in 2026?
Manifold MarketsU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by which date?
PolymarketU.S. x Russia nuclear arms control deal confirmed by which date?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
- Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia.
- For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 693 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Russia nuclear test by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31, à 6% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Russia nuclear test by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Russia nuclear test by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Russia nuclear test by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET).