By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffScienceSociété et culture3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.6%
Prévisionnistes
78
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
21 déc. 22, 16:28 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Based on Gallup surveys. 33% said aliens in 2019. 41% said aliens in 2022.
- Criteria: Resolves based on first post-January 1st, 2025 Gallup survey asking "We have a question about unidentified flying objects, also known as UFOs.
- Which comes closer to your view -- [some UFOs have been alien spacecraft visiting Earth from other planets or galaxies, (or) all UFO sightings can be explained by human activity on Earth or natural phenomenon]?" https://news.gallup.com/poll/350096/americans-believe-ufos.aspx
- Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Gallup never polls this question again, the market will resolve N/A.
