100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.8%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète5 mars 26, 15:30 UTC1 janv. 30, 15:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible international sources report at least 100 military deaths resulting from direct armed conflict between Israel and Turkey before January 1, 2030.
- Deaths must be confirmed casualties from combat operations, airstrikes, naval engagements, or other direct military confrontations between the two nations' armed forces.
- Deaths from terrorism, espionage operations, or indirect consequences of conflict do not count.
- Resolution will be determined by reports from major international news organizations, military analysts, or official government statements from either nation or credible third parties.
- This description was generated by AI.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand 100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment 100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria