Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète11 mars 26, 11:41 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Greece x Turkey military engagement by which date?
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LimitlessRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if there is a direct military clash between Israeli and Turkish forces before January 1, 2027.
- A military clash is defined as armed combat involving weapons fire, airstrikes, or military operations where at least one side is Turkish military personnel or assets and the other is Israeli military personnel or assets.
- The clash must occur in any location (Syria, Turkish territory, international waters, etc.).
- Isolated incidents such as accidental border crossings, single shots fired, or unconfirmed reports do not qualify.
- The incident must be confirmed by credible international news sources or official statements from either government.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
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- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria
- Où Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.