Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?
One-OffRussie / UkraineGéopolitiqueEurope3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 89.9%
Non 89.9%Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 24, 15:24 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- If currently unoccupied part of the Republic of Cyprus is occupied by the Turkish military forces or by the forces of Northern Cyprus before the market end, then the resolution is YES.
- If occupation is partial, but more than half of the current area (that is not occupied as of 2024-01-02) of the republic is occupied, then the resolution is also YES.
- If the occupation forces are not official military forces of Northern Cyprus and/or Turkey, but they are supplied and/or significantly supported by them, then the resolution is YES (e.g. cases similar to Donetsk/Lugansk Peoples Republics after 2014 would also be considered as occupation by Russia for the purposes of this market).
- Otherwise the resolution is NO.
- Author betting policy