Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 88%-0.0pt
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
7,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread modéréVariation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 44 minutes
1 avr. 26, 20:0431 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes12%
Tendance du volume
$14 juil.20j de données29 juil.
Marchés Associés
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
1,8 k €Oui: 93.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
528,7 €Oui: 31%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?
115,2 €Oui: 53.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026?
67,4 €Oui: 40%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
1,3 €Oui: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
0 €Italy: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution.
- Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
- Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held.
- An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.