Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.1%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard19 oct. 23, 20:33 UTC31 déc. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Macron activates article 16 of the French constitution (exceptional powers) before April 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
KalshiWill a Republican House or Senate Candidate say Donald Trump should run for a third term before Midterms Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsEmmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
FutuurRègles
In France the constitution does not allow for a president to run for 3 terms in a row.
- The idea emerged that LREM, Macron's political party would promote a constitutional revision to allow Macron to run for a third term.
- The elections will take place in April/May 2027.
- So if before the end of 2026 the constitution has been changed, the answer will be YES.
- If not, the NO wins.
