Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 95.5%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète2 déc. 24, 18:45 UTC1 juin 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
FutuurWill Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump resign during his term?
KalshiMacron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
MyriadRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Emmanuel Macron formally resigns from the office of President of France before the scheduled end of his term in May 2027.
- The market will resolve NO if Macron completes his term or if his presidency ends through other means (such as impeachment, death, or medical incapacity).
- For resolution purposes:
- A temporary transfer of power (such as during medical procedures) does not count as resignation
- The resignation must be formally accepted according to French constitutional procedures
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term? doit être résolu le 1 juin 2027.
- Comment Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria