Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 24 oct. 2026, 12:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 94.7%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard2 déc. 24, 18:45 UTC1 juin 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
FutuurWill Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump resign during his term?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Emmanuel Macron formally resigns from the office of President of France before the scheduled end of his term in May 2027.
- The market will resolve NO if Macron completes his term or if his presidency ends through other means (such as impeachment, death, or medical incapacity).
- For resolution purposes:
- A temporary transfer of power (such as during medical procedures) does not count as resignation
- The resignation must be formally accepted according to French constitutional procedures
