Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 94.8%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète24 août 24, 19:17 UTC10 avr. 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
FutuurWill Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill any CSTO member state successfully invoke Article 4 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Manifold MarketsMacron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
MyriadMacron out by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Article 16 gives full power to the french president for a month minimum, in case of a crisis.
- Since the early elections in July, France is currently having a political crisis that may prevent the creation of a stable government and the exercise of legislative power.
- Two conditions must be met for him to invoke it. - a serious and immediate threat to the institutions of the Republic, the independence of the Nation, the integrity of its territory or the execution of its international commitments
- - the interruption of the regular functioning of the constitutional public authorities (executive, legislative and judicial powers).
- There must be a threat against the republic, and the republic must be in a position where it cannot act to save itself.
- What powers does it allows ? - Disregard the principle of the separation of powers.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate? doit être résolu le 10 avril 2027.
- Comment Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Article 16 gives full power to the french president for a month minimum, in case of a crisis.