Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92%+0.5pt
Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Liquidité
17,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.0% / 9.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
16
Variation 7j
-1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
25 mai 26, 01:55 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkey officially announces early presidential elections to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 Turkish presidential election, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement requires an official public announcement by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) establishing, approving, scheduling, or formally initiating a presidential election to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 election.
- Announcements of discussions, proposals, negotiations, speculation, or calls for early elections by politicians, parties, media, or commentators, without official action to schedule or initiate such elections, will not qualify.
- If early presidential elections are officially announced before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the elections are later postponed, canceled, or ultimately held.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Turkish government authorities or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
