Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionPolitique américaine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Other 23%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 30 options
Other 23%+0.1ptPrévisionnistes
46
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
8 nov. 24, 11:41 UTC26 nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWinner of the next US Presidential Election
FutuurRègles
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
- Anyone that adds a new candidate and bets for them will get a Ṁ10 subsidy for their contribution of new information and potentially new candidates.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 24%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
