Probabilité implicite actuelle
JD Vance 48.7%+0.0%En tête parmi 31 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
-
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
24 févr. 26, 12:357 nov. 28, 13:00
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
JD Vance49%
Comparer les plateformes· JD Vance
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketLa plus active | 20% | 0pt | 3,6 M € | 33,3 M € | il y a 12 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Kalshi | 18% | -2pt | 271,8 k € | 31,3 M € | il y a 8 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Futuur | 15% | -5pt | 262,9 € | 0 € | il y a 6 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets | 19% | -1pt | — | — | il y a 6 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 MyriadCette page | 49% | +29pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 6 minutes | |
 Smarkets | 17% | -3pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 6 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Limitless | 50% | +30pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 6 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2a
0.3%
-0.1%13.5%
0.2%
+42 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire1,006 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total1,1 M €
Volume 24h74,5 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
0.2%2a
+0.1%20%
+0.1%14%
12%
+125 résultats de plus
89 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevée
Volume total571,5 M €
Volume 24h3,6 M €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Smarkets
2028 Presidential Election Winner
6.7%
0.2%
0.2%
+36 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total272,9 k €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2a
50%
50%
50%
+4 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total14,6 k €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.2%3a
+0.2%1%
1%
0%
+27 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total43,5 M €
Volume 24h271,8 k €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
4mo
15%
15%
14%
+2 résultats de plus
40 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total262,9 €
Volume 24h262,9 €
FUTUURRègles
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S.
- Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
Will Graham Platner drop out?
2 M €Before Jul 14, 2026: 96%KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
1,1 M €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election Winner
399 k €Nigel Farage: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Graham Platner drop out by...?
382,1 k €November 2: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?
215,1 k €Troy Jackson: 48%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
164 k €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.NewsRègles
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S.
- Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**