Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionEspaceSanté et médecineGéopolitique2a
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142
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète19 févr. 25, 01:33 UTC28 janv. 29, 15:59 UTC
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Basically, will Trump (or anyone else) SUCCEED in making the election very different in some way? I am talking:
- Trump running again (not just try to, not just a write in campaign, actually having his name on ballot papers)
- Falsified election results (on a large scale, not just localised corruption or errors with voting machines)
- The election not occurring at all during 2028
- I may make an exception if it's legitimately postponed, but definite no resolution if there is no election by July 4 2029
- per the comments no US elections have been postponed for more than 150 years, so this is a very high bar
