Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 60%
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète21 févr. 24, 01:25 UTC7 nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWinner of the next US Presidential Election
FutuurRègles
Resolves YES if the inflation rate is announced to be 6% or higher on any given month between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections in the United States, inclusive of the two months when the elections happen.
- Resolves NO otherwise, after the CPI data was made public for the month of the 2028 presidential election.
- Will not wait for corrections.
- The yearly inflation rate refers to the consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate as announced on the US Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
- https://www.bls.gov/cpi/
- May resolve N/A if an event makes it clear there will be no presidential election in 2024 or 2028.
