Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 90%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète18 févr. 24, 21:03 UTC7 nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win in 2028 Presidential Elections
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRègles
Will resolve YES if the unemployment rate reaches 10% or higher at any point between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections in the United States according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Will resolve NO otherwise, after data for the whole period has been made public.
- May resolve N/A if an event makes it clear there will be no presidential election in 2024 or 2028.
- On the other hand, if for example the 2028 election gets delayed and is still referred to as the 2028 election but occurs in 2029, it will not resolve as N/A and be extended until the actual election occurs.
- Source used for resolution: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
- Screenshot showing data up to November 2023 for reference:
