KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 5 79%-10.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,9 k €
Liquidité
8,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
18 sept. 26, 17:00 UTC29 sept. 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt7%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 27 M €
- Volume 24h
- 656,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 59,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 525,7 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-5.0pt75.3%
- Yes+5.0pt24.8%
- Volume total
- 10,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 410 k €
POLYMARKETSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- October 31+12.9pt88%
- September 30+26.5pt56%
- September 221%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.3pt13%
- Save the Children+0.1pt10%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
+28 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029+3.0pt73%
- Before Jul 1, 2028+3.0pt68%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt56%
+10 résultats de plus
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) ?
- Kalshi cote Above 5 à 79% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) doit être résolu le 29 septembre 2026.
- Comment Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.