KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 150 81%+2.0ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
22,5 k €
Liquidité
24,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
18 sept. 26, 16:30 UTC29 sept. 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.6pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt8%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 27 M €
- Volume 24h
- 657,4 k €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 59,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 539,1 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-4.0pt76.2%
- Yes+4.0pt23.8%
- Volume total
- 10,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 408,6 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25+0.7pt96%
- September 3090%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 257,4 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 27,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 140,9 k €
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+4.0pt39%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt27%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt14%
+7 résultats de plus
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Trump renames AI by September 30?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) ?
- Kalshi cote Above 150 à 81% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) doit être résolu le 29 septembre 2026.
- Comment Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.