PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 26 62%+15.0ptEn tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,8 k €
Liquidité
1,5 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
21.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
17 sept. 26, 15:27 UTC30 sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketHouthi military action against Israel by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketWhen will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia?
KalshiIsrael and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Saudi Arabia on the specified date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Saudi Arabia.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.